HDFC Bank Share Price has fallen drastically since last month - should you invest or not?
HDFC Bank share price has fallen drastically - should you invest or not?

HDFC Bank Share: The price of HDFC Bank shares has been consistently falling for the past two months. A stock that was priced at ₹1681 in January dropped to ₹1446 on February 3, 2024. Looking at the previous month, BankNifty fell from 48,178 points to 45,974, with HDFC Bank having the most significant impact, contributing approximately 32.8% to BankNifty. So, the question arises: why is HDFC Bank’s share price falling? To understand this, let’s first examine the bank’s financials.

HDFC Bank’s Last 5 Years Revenue

Over the past five years, HDFC Bank has shown consistent revenue growth annually, indicating that the bank’s financials are sound.

YearRevenue (in Cr.)
2023 ₹204666
2022₹167695
2021₹155885
2020₹147068
2019₹124108

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HDFC Bank’s Last 5 Years Profit

Reviewing HDFC Bank’s record over the past five years reveals that the company has generated good profits. Year-on-year, the bank’s profits also seem satisfactory. So, where is the shortfall? To find out, let’s take a look at the bank’s quarterly profits.

YearYearly Profit (in Cr.)
2023 ₹46,149
2022₹38,151
2021₹31,857
2020₹27,296
2019₹22,446

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HDFC Bank’s Last 5 Quarters Profit

Quarters (2022-23)Quarterly Profit (in Cr.)
December 2023 ₹17,718
September 2023 ₹17,312
June 2023 ₹12,403
March 2023 ₹12,634
December 2022₹12,735

Reason for the Decline of HDFC Bank’s Share Price

If we examine the figures before September 2023, we can see a decline in profits quarter over quarter. However, analysts had anticipated significant growth following the merger between HDFC Bank and HDFC Ltd. However, this did not materialize as expected. While there was an increase in profits after the merger, it was not as substantial as what analysts and the market had anticipated. Consequently, this news spread in the market like wildfire, leading those who had shares of HDFC Bank to start selling off their holdings, resulting in fluctuations in the share price.

There seems to be no flaw in the bank’s financials; this negative sentiment in the market is a result of pessimistic speculation surrounding the bank.

Should You Buy HDFC Bank Shares or Not?

In our opinion, this is a good investment opportunity for every investor and trader. From one perspective, due to the negative sentiment prevailing in the market and the various conflicting statements in the media, HDFC Bank shares are currently available at a discounted price.

Some brokerage and research firms have forecasted that HDFC Bank’s share price could reach ₹1600 in the short term and up to ₹2410 by 2025 (long term). Therefore, if you are not trading for the short term, it is advisable to hold onto your shares instead of selling them, allowing you to earn significant profits in the long run.